This battered fashion stock could be the next big thing
Branding is an underrated aspect of investing. Most non-pharmaceutical and technology products (for example, many consumer goods) are easy to copy. However, some of the most successful brands belong to these consumer brands that consumers love and remain loyal anyway.
fashion brands and retailers rotation group (RVLV -1.18%) It could be the next shining example. The company has grown significantly in recent years, and its stock fundamentals continue to provide solid investment returns for shareholders.
A true new age of advertising
Magazines and cable television have long served as platforms for fashion brands to reach their customers. We still see it today, especially with designer brands. Revolve is an e-commerce fashion retailer targeting millennials and Gen Z consumers, both third-party and owned, where he sells over 1,000 brands.
Younger consumers grew up in a different era than older consumers, and much of their engagement happens online. Revolve has worked with well-known social media influencers and celebrity networks such as Kendall Jenner and Emily Ratajkowski to incorporate it into their marketing strategies. Additionally, Revolve has a brand ambassador program that allows social media influencers to share products on their pages and use links to track purchases and earn commissions.
Instead of spending money on magazine ads and commercials, Revolve encourages people within its target market (with tens of millions of followers) to advertise, sometimes increasing the company’s sales without any upfront costs. We share profits with influencers who have created It’s virtually certain that Revolve is getting value from its advertising dollars. Because by definition, commissions don’t exist without sales.
The numbers show business is strong
Sales momentum has been somewhat erratic in recent years, as younger consumers are more susceptible to the economy. They are usually not financially established and many have student loans. Here’s how the stimulus helped boost his juice earnings in 2021, but sharp inflation and a volatile economy in 2022 slowed growth. However, the long-term outlook is that of a growing business. Over the past three years, revenue growth has averaged over 24% annually.
Long-term growth is likely to continue as long as Revolve’s marketing strategy continues to work, but there is currently no evidence to the contrary. Short-term concerns are necessary for investors, but there is no need to fear. The company appears to be in a financial position to withstand the recession and tighter customer wallets.
Like many other retailers, higher fulfillment costs have reduced free cash flow, but it remains positive, as shown below. More importantly, Revolve has a healthy cash balance of $237 million against zero debt. Even if Revolve starts burning cash, it seems like it’s going to have enough to get it done.
Investors expect free cash flow and sales growth to stabilize and hope to rebound as inflation stabilizes and recedes. A bear market or recession may be more about survival than short-term growth, and fortunately Revolve appears to be prepared for what’s to come.
Meanwhile, stock prices plummeted
Mr. Market sees all this bad news and sells stocks, especially in a bear market where investors are scared. Despite record earnings, a healthy balance sheet and an effective marketing strategy, Revolve’s stock price has fallen a whopping 72% from its peak.
Nonetheless, these things happen. The stock is trading at 1.7 times his share price, the lowest since his COVID-19 crash in March 2020. The short term is fraught with uncertainty. No one knows how long inflation will skyrocket or a bear market will terrorize Wall Street.
What is known, however, is that Revolve is generating cash earnings, growing earnings at double-digit rates, and has a healthy balance sheet enough to weather the storm. When the brighter day finally comes, it seems like a great potential recovery candidate.
Justin Pope has no positions in any of the stocks mentioned.The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Revolve Group Inc. Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.